Region = MI 1                   
   Nickname = I Pilots               Coach  =   John Sauger           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1843033    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          ( 8-10, 86.2)     3- 8   
 403 A Troy Athens            MI 1          ( 6-13, 83.3)    11- 6   
 407 A Huron Valley           MI 2          ( 9- 7, 94.9)     9- 3   
 413 N Durham Riverside       NC    Public  ( 9-12, 90.5)     9- 7   
 415 N Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-III ( 9- 9, 84.2)     1- 9   
 420 A Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1          ( 2-18, 81.4)    10- 8   
 424 H Ann Arbor Huron        MI 2          (12- 4, 99.9)     3-11   
 427 A Cranbrook              MI 1          (14- 3, 98.5)     3-13   
 501 A Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1          (10-10, 90.1)     6-12   
 504 H Brother Rice           MI 1          (19- 3, 99.9)     2-15   
 506 H Forest Hills           MI 1          ( 7- 6, 89.6)    14-15  o
 512 N Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1          (10-10, 90.1)     4-10   
 518 H Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (16- 5, 94.7)     7-18   
 522 H East Grand Rapids      MI 1          (14- 5, 94.7)     3-15   
 525 A Detroit Country Day    MI 1          (13- 7, 93.7)     4-10   
 526 A Bloomfield Hills       MI 2          ( 6-12, 87.2)    11-14   
 602 H Romeo                  MI 3          ( 0-13, 78.2)     1- 0   
 604 A Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          ( 8-10, 86.2)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Ann Arbor Pioneer       3- 8      -5    -4          -0.74
   403 A Troy Athens            11- 6       5    -1    +++    6.29
   407 A Huron Valley            9- 3       6   -13          n/a  
   413 N Durham Riverside        9- 7       2    -8          n/a  
   415 N Bergen Catholic         1- 9      -8    -2          n/a  
   420 A Detroit Catholic Cent  10- 8       2     0           1.38
   424 H Ann Arbor Huron         3-11      -8   -17          n/a  
   427 A Cranbrook               3-13     -10   -16           0.00
   501 A Univ Detroit Jesuit     6-12      -6    -8    +      2.10
   504 H Brother Rice            2-15     -13   -17           0.00
   506 H Forest Hills           14-15  o   -1    -7    +++    6.60
   512 N Univ Detroit Jesuit     4-10      -6    -8    +      2.10
   518 H Birmingham-Seaholm      7-18     -11   -12           0.00
   522 H East Grand Rapids       3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   525 A Detroit Country Day     4-10      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   526 A Bloomfield Hills       11-14      -3    -5          n/a  
   604 A Ann Arbor Pioneer       6-11      -5    -4          -0.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 N Bergen Catholic         1- 9      -8    -2    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Troy Athens            11- 6       5    -1    +++    6.29
   407 A Huron Valley            9- 3       6   -13    +++        
   413 N Durham Riverside        9- 7       2    -8    +++        
   506 H Forest Hills           14-15  o   -1    -7    +++    6.60
   525 A Detroit Country Day     4-10      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   424 H Ann Arbor Huron         3-11      -8   -17    +          
   501 A Univ Detroit Jesuit     6-12      -6    -8    +      2.10
   512 N Univ Detroit Jesuit     4-10      -6    -8    +      2.10
   526 A Bloomfield Hills       11-14      -3    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.98 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.88 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/