Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY B  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Brian Tower           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4396591    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.5)     6-12   
 325 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.9)     5-12   
 327 N East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.5)     8-11   
 331 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 73.6)    12-10   
 402 H Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (16- 3, 90.6)     8-14   
 407 A Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.9)     2-14   
 416 A Eastport/South Manor   NY C  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.1)    14- 7   
 419 A Mercy-Riverhead        NY C  Sec 11  ( 2-16, 66.8)    14- 1   
 421 H Shoreham-Wading River  NY B  Sec 11  (16- 3, 91.8)     8-14   
 423 H Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.3)    12-11   
 427 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (17- 1, 95.6)     4-14   
 429 A Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  (11- 6, 82.7)     8- 7  o
 503 H Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (11- 7, 82.4)     8-12   
 505 A Southampton            NY C  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 60.7)    16- 3   
 507 A Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.7)    12- 4   
 511 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 73.6)    11-13   
 513 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 82.0)     7- 3   
 520 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (16- 3, 90.6)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A North Babylon           6-12      -6     0    --    -5.62
   325 H Commack                 5-12      -7     0    ---   -6.32
   327 N East Hampton            8-11      -3    -2          -0.66
   331 H Bayport-Blue Point     12-10       2     4    -     -2.64
   402 H Rocky Point             8-14      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   407 A Huntington              2-14     -12   -10           0.00
   416 A Eastport/South Manor   14- 7       7     9    -     -2.02
   419 A Mercy-Riverhead        14- 1      13    11           0.00
   421 H Shoreham-Wading River   8-14      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   423 H Harborfields           12-11       1     0           0.04
   427 A Comsewogue              4-14     -10   -17           0.00
   429 A Islip                   8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.62
   503 H Mount Sinai             8-12      -4    -4           0.11
   505 A Southampton            16- 3      13    17           0.00
   507 A Westhampton Beach      12- 4       8     5    +      2.59
   511 A Kings Park             11-13      -2     4    ---   -6.51
   513 H Hauppauge               7- 3       4    -3    +++    7.73
   520 A Rocky Point             5-14      -9   -12           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Commack                 5-12      -7     0    ---   -6.32
   511 A Kings Park             11-13      -2     4    ---   -6.51
   323 A North Babylon           6-12      -6     0    --    -5.62
   331 H Bayport-Blue Point     12-10       2     4    -     -2.64
   416 A Eastport/South Manor   14- 7       7     9    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Hauppauge               7- 3       4    -3    +++    7.73
   402 H Rocky Point             8-14      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   421 H Shoreham-Wading River   8-14      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   429 A Islip                   8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.62
   507 A Westhampton Beach      12- 4       8     5    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.17 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.28 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/