Region = NE    North            
   Nickname = A Penguins             Coach  =   Mike Lebel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.9853439    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Tilton School          NE    North   ( 4-11, 79.2)    19- 5   
 403 H Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (15- 3, 96.1)     6- 8   
 407 A Moses Brown            NE    SEast-1 (14- 3, 99.0)     3-12   
 409 H Winchendon             NE    East-2  (17- 4, 89.6)     6- 2   
 410 A Kimball Union          NE    North   ( 9- 4, 91.7)     5- 9   
 414 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 3-15, 74.3)    11- 5   
 416 A Thayer Academy         NE    ISL     (11- 5, 94.2)     2- 6   
 417 H Vermont Academy        NE    North   ( 4- 8, 77.7)    18- 4   
 421 H Brewster Academy       NE    North   ( 9- 4, 90.9)     8- 5   
 428 A Proctor                NE    North   ( 5- 8, 81.0)    11- 6   
 501 H Wilbraham Monson       NE 2  West    ( 0- 9, 81.3)    10- 1   
 505 H Pomfret                NE    East-1  ( 7- 8, 87.7)     3- 5   
 507 A Pingree                NE    East-2  (16- 5, 90.9)     8-13   
 508 H Holderness             NE    North   (15- 2, 97.5)     3- 8   
 512 H Worcester Academy      NE    East-2  ( 4-10, 75.2)    17- 2   
 515 H New Hampton            NE    North   ( 2-11, 74.5)    16- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Tilton School          19- 5      14    10           0.00
   403 H Phillips Exeter         6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.20
   407 A Moses Brown             3-12      -9    -9           0.83
   409 H Winchendon              6- 2       4     0    +      3.66
   410 A Kimball Union           5- 9      -4    -2          -1.47
   414 A Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 5       6    14          n/a  
   416 A Thayer Academy          2- 6      -4    -5           1.04
   417 H Vermont Academy        18- 4      14    12           0.00
   421 H Brewster Academy        8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.01
   428 A Proctor                11- 6       5     8    -     -3.19
   501 H Wilbraham Monson       10- 1       9     8          n/a  
   505 H Pomfret                 3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.21
   507 A Pingree                 8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.34
   508 H Holderness              3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.54
   512 H Worcester Academy      17- 2      15    14           0.00
   515 H New Hampton            16- 2      14    15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 5       6    14    --         
   505 H Pomfret                 3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.21
   428 A Proctor                11- 6       5     8    -     -3.19
   507 A Pingree                 8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Phillips Exeter         6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.20
   421 H Brewster Academy        8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.01
   409 H Winchendon              6- 2       4     0    +      3.66
   508 H Holderness              3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.57 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/