Region = NE North Nickname = A Penguins Coach = Mike LebelGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.9853439 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Tilton School NE North ( 4-11, 79.2) 19- 5 403 H Phillips Exeter NE East-1 (15- 3, 96.1) 6- 8 407 A Moses Brown NE SEast-1 (14- 3, 99.0) 3-12 409 H Winchendon NE East-2 (17- 4, 89.6) 6- 2 410 A Kimball Union NE North ( 9- 4, 91.7) 5- 9 414 A Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 3-15, 74.3) 11- 5 416 A Thayer Academy NE ISL (11- 5, 94.2) 2- 6 417 H Vermont Academy NE North ( 4- 8, 77.7) 18- 4 421 H Brewster Academy NE North ( 9- 4, 90.9) 8- 5 428 A Proctor NE North ( 5- 8, 81.0) 11- 6 501 H Wilbraham Monson NE 2 West ( 0- 9, 81.3) 10- 1 505 H Pomfret NE East-1 ( 7- 8, 87.7) 3- 5 507 A Pingree NE East-2 (16- 5, 90.9) 8-13 508 H Holderness NE North (15- 2, 97.5) 3- 8 512 H Worcester Academy NE East-2 ( 4-10, 75.2) 17- 2 515 H New Hampton NE North ( 2-11, 74.5) 16- 2PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Tilton School 19- 5 14 10 0.00 403 H Phillips Exeter 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.20 407 A Moses Brown 3-12 -9 -9 0.83 409 H Winchendon 6- 2 4 0 + 3.66 410 A Kimball Union 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.47 414 A Northfield Mt Hermon 11- 5 6 14 n/a 416 A Thayer Academy 2- 6 -4 -5 1.04 417 H Vermont Academy 18- 4 14 12 0.00 421 H Brewster Academy 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.01 428 A Proctor 11- 6 5 8 - -3.19 501 H Wilbraham Monson 10- 1 9 8 n/a 505 H Pomfret 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.21 507 A Pingree 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.34 508 H Holderness 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.54 512 H Worcester Academy 17- 2 15 14 0.00 515 H New Hampton 16- 2 14 15 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Northfield Mt Hermon 11- 5 6 14 -- 505 H Pomfret 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.21 428 A Proctor 11- 6 5 8 - -3.19 507 A Pingree 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Phillips Exeter 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.20 421 H Brewster Academy 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.01 409 H Winchendon 6- 2 4 0 + 3.66 508 H Holderness 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.54/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.57 Local Power Rank........... 20 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.0