Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Sal Piscitelli        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7680969    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.4)     8-11   
 330 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 68.0)    14- 6   
 401 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)     9- 8  o
 403 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 82.0)    15-10   
 407 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 79.2)    12- 2   
 414 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 68.9)    17- 2   
 416 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.6)     9-13   
 420 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.2)    11-19   
 423 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.5)    10- 7   
 426 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     5-19   
 428 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.5)    10-12   
 430 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.6)     5-16   
 503 A Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 75.1)    14- 2   
 506 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 91.6)     7-17   
 510 H Sachem                 NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     3- 6   
 512 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.6)    10- 6   
 519 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.6)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Half Hollow Hills West  8-11      -3    -2          -0.31
   330 H Walt Whitman           14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   401 H Smithtown               9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.89
   403 A Hauppauge              15-10       5     0    ++     4.28
   407 A Riverhead              12- 2      10     3    +++    6.55
   414 H Brentwood              17- 2      15    13           0.00
   416 H William Floyd           9-13      -4    -4           0.78
   420 H Lindenhurst            11-19      -8    -3    --    -4.66
   423 A North Babylon          10- 7       3     4          -1.23
   426 A West Islip              5-19     -14   -17           0.00
   428 A East Islip             10-12      -2    -3           1.85
   430 H Ward Melville           5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   503 A Copaigue               14- 2      12     7    +      2.36
   506 A Northport               7-17     -10    -8          -1.07
   510 H Sachem                  3- 6      -3    -8    ++     6.00
   512 A Patchogue-Medford      10- 6       4     3           0.87
   519 A William Floyd          10-14      -4    -4           0.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Lindenhurst            11-19      -8    -3    --    -4.66
   330 H Walt Whitman           14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Riverhead              12- 2      10     3    +++    6.55
   403 A Hauppauge              15-10       5     0    ++     4.28
   510 H Sachem                  3- 6      -3    -8    ++     6.00
   401 H Smithtown               9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.89
   503 A Copaigue               14- 2      12     7    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.78 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.75 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/