Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0169907    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 77.1)    16- 8   
 330 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 80.7)    12- 2   
 402 A Nottingham             NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 91.8)     5-16   
 408 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 80.0)    12- 7   
 413 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 87.0)     8-15   
 414 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-17, 72.4)    13- 4   
 416 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (23- 1, 99.9)     5- 6   
 420 A Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   (15- 5, 94.8)     4-12   
 423 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-17, 72.4)    12- 3   
 424 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.4)     9- 4   
 426 A Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 77.1)    19-13   
 428 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (16- 6, 92.3)    12- 8   
 501 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 80.0)    15-23   
 503 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10-10, 90.0)     8- 7   
 506 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 87.0)    10-13   
 511 H Nottingham             NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 91.8)    11-10   
 514 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 86.5)    10-11   
 517 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (15- 5, 93.4)     2- 8   
 521 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (15- 5, 93.4)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Whitesboro             16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00
   330 H Mynderse Academy       12- 2      10     6          n/a  
   402 A Nottingham              5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.22
   408 H Oswego                 12- 7       5     7    -     -2.88
   413 A Corcoran                8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.03
   414 A Central Square         13- 4       9    13          -1.00
   416 H West Genesee            5- 6      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   420 A Henninger               4-12      -8    -8           0.81
   423 H Central Square         12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   424 H Williamsville East      9- 4       5    -5          n/a  
   426 A Whitesboro             19-13       6     8    -     -2.86
   428 H East Syracuse-Minoa    12- 8       4    -4    +++    8.41
   501 A Oswego                 15-23      -8     5    ---  -13.95
   503 H Baldwinsville           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.08
   506 A Auburn                 10-13      -3     0    -     -2.02
   511 H Nottingham             11-10       1    -3    ++     4.85
   514 A Liverpool              10-11      -1     0          -0.47
   517 A Fayetteville-Manlius    2- 8      -6    -7           1.39
   521 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Corcoran                8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.03
   501 A Oswego                 15-23      -8     5    ---  -13.95
   402 A Nottingham              5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.22
   329 H Whitesboro             16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00
   408 H Oswego                 12- 7       5     7    -     -2.88
   426 A Whitesboro             19-13       6     8    -     -2.86
   506 A Auburn                 10-13      -3     0    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H West Genesee            5- 6      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   424 H Williamsville East      9- 4       5    -5    +++        
   428 H East Syracuse-Minoa    12- 8       4    -4    +++    8.41
   511 H Nottingham             11-10       1    -3    ++     4.85
   330 H Mynderse Academy       12- 2      10     6    +          
   503 H Baldwinsville           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.08
   521 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.95 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.41 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/