Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Tom Holb              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0275726    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (13- 6, 88.3)     7- 9   
 406 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 95.7)     0-17   
 408 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 5, 98.6)     6-14   
 410 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 72.7)    13- 0   
 412 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 81.3)     6-11   
 414 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 95.9)     4-16   
 416 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 79.9)     7-10   
 420 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-11, 87.0)     6-13   
 422 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 5, 99.9)     1-21   
 424 H Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 95.7)     3-14   
 428 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 5, 98.6)     6-16   
 430 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 81.3)     5- 6  o
 501 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   (14- 5, 88.9)     4-11   
 505 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 95.9)     4-13   
 507 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 79.9)     8-15   
 512 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-11, 87.0)     4-16   
 514 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 5, 99.9)     1-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Christian Bros          7- 9      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   406 A Saratoga Spgs           0-17     -17   -19           0.00
   408 H Shenendehowa            6-14      -8   -21    +      2.00
   410 A Schenectady            13- 0      13     3    +++    6.74
   412 A Bethlehem               6-11      -5    -5           0.31
   414 H Guilderland             4-16     -12   -18           0.00
   416 A Columbia                7-10      -3    -3           0.88
   420 H Shaker                  6-13      -7    -9    +      2.71
   422 H Niskayuna               1-21     -20   -22           0.00
   424 H Saratoga Spgs           3-14     -11   -18           0.00
   428 A Shenendehowa            6-16     -10   -22           0.00
   430 H Bethlehem               5- 6  o   -1    -4    +      3.05
   501 H Ballston Spa            4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   505 A Guilderland             4-13      -9   -19           1.00
   507 H Columbia                8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.37
   512 A Shaker                  4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   514 A Niskayuna               1-21     -20   -23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Columbia                8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Christian Bros          7- 9      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   410 A Schenectady            13- 0      13     3    +++    6.74
   408 H Shenendehowa            6-14      -8   -21    +      2.00
   420 H Shaker                  6-13      -7    -9    +      2.71
   430 H Bethlehem               5- 6  o   -1    -4    +      3.05
   501 H Ballston Spa            4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.63 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.59 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-14 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-16 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -13.0
/