Region = AZ    North            
   Nickname = Z Firebirds            Coach  =   Jason Silkey          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.4304810    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 131 A Tucson T-V             AZ    South   ( 2-10, 68.4)    16- 0   
 204 H Phoenix Country Day    AZ    West    (11- 3, 95.9)     3- 2   
 207 A Chandler               AZ    South   ( 9- 5, 90.2)    13- 6   
 211 H Desert Vista           AZ    West    ( 8- 5, 91.1)    11-10   
 218 H Dobson                 AZ    South   ( 5- 7, 82.2)    13- 2   
 228 A Hamilton               AZ    South   ( 6- 6, 84.0)    14- 8   
 306 A Horizon                AZ    West    ( 0-12, 62.1)    18- 2   
 315 H Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  South   (21- 5, 96.7)     4- 9   
 319 H Brophy Prep            AZ    West    ( 6- 7, 85.0)    13- 2   
 327 H Tucson                 AZ    South   ( 4- 9, 74.6)    10- 1   
 405 H Floral Park            NY B  Sec 8   ( 7-10, 82.6)     6-14   
 407 A Desert Mountain        AZ    North   (10- 3, 92.3)    14- 8   
 414 H Monte Vista/Danville   CA    EastBay (19- 3, 99.9)     9- 5   
 416 H Saguaro                AZ    North   ( 7- 7, 87.2)    13- 8   
 420 A Gilbert                AZ    East    (13- 4, 98.4)    12-10   
 423 H Mesquite               AZ    East    ( 6- 6, 85.7)    15- 9   
 430 H Chandler               AZ    South   ( 9- 5, 90.2)    16- 4   
 507 N Gilbert                AZ    East    (13- 4, 98.4)    11-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   131 A Tucson T-V             16- 0      16    31           0.00
   204 H Phoenix Country Day     3- 2       1     3    -     -2.99
   207 A Chandler               13- 6       7     9    -     -2.68
   211 H Desert Vista           11-10       1     8    ---   -7.84
   218 H Dobson                 13- 2      11    17           0.00
   228 A Hamilton               14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   306 A Horizon                18- 2      16    37           0.00
   315 H Western Reserve Acad    4- 9      -5     4          n/a  
   319 H Brophy Prep            13- 2      11    14           0.00
   327 H Tucson                 10- 1       9    25          -1.00
   405 H Floral Park             6-14      -8    17          n/a  
   407 A Desert Mountain        14- 8       6     7          -1.56
   414 H Monte Vista/Danville    9- 5       4     0          n/a  
   416 H Saguaro                13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   420 A Gilbert                12-10       2     1           0.56
   423 H Mesquite               15- 9       6    14    --    -4.00
   430 H Chandler               16- 4      12     9           0.26
   507 N Gilbert                11-10       1     1          -0.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Desert Vista           11-10       1     8    ---   -7.84
   315 H Western Reserve Acad    4- 9      -5     4    ---        
   405 H Floral Park             6-14      -8    17    ---        
   228 A Hamilton               14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   416 H Saguaro                13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   423 H Mesquite               15- 9       6    14    --    -4.00
   204 H Phoenix Country Day     3- 2       1     3    -     -2.99
   207 A Chandler               13- 6       7     9    -     -2.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Monte Vista/Danville    9- 5       4     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.24 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   27.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.295.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 11- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 15- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/