Conf = Fitch Region = NJ Grp-I Nickname = J Cougars Coach = Steve ManittaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.4808426 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Madison Boro NJ Grp-I (16- 3, 93.8) 8- 9 o 407 H Pingry NJ Grp-I (13- 4, 91.5) 9-10 2o 417 H Hunterdon Central NJ Grp-IV (14- 5, 91.9) 9- 7 419 A Randolph NJ Grp-III ( 9- 9, 85.4) 4- 5 421 H Ridgewood NJ Grp-III (18- 5, 95.5) 3- 8 424 H Westfield NJ Grp-III ( 9-11, 86.8) 9- 5 426 N Summit NJ Grp-I (17- 4, 94.5) 6- 5 2o 430 A Seton Hall Prep NJ Grp-IV (11-10, 89.0) 7- 5 503 A Bridgewater-Raritan NJ Grp-IV (11- 9, 86.9) 7- 4 505 H Columbia NJ Grp-IV (11-10, 88.0) 6- 5 507 H Delbarton NJ Grp-II (22- 1, 99.9) 1- 8 508 A West Morris Central NJ Grp-III (12- 9, 87.4) 5- 8 510 H Hanover Park NJ Grp-II ( 4-12, 80.1) 7- 6 513 A Morristown Beard NJ Grp-I (15- 5, 90.4) 9-12 518 A Mendham NJ Grp-II (11- 9, 87.5) 8- 7 520 H St Augustine Prep NJ Grp-I (13- 5, 80.9) 12- 2 522 A Summit NJ Grp-I (17- 4, 94.5) 3- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Madison Boro 8- 9 o -1 -6 ++ 5.22 407 H Pingry 9-10 2o -1 -2 1.41 417 H Hunterdon Central 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.77 419 A Randolph 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.18 421 H Ridgewood 3- 8 -5 -6 1.41 424 H Westfield 9- 5 4 2 1.66 426 N Summit 6- 5 2o 1 -6 +++ 7.18 430 A Seton Hall Prep 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.43 503 A Bridgewater-Raritan 7- 4 3 0 + 2.34 505 H Columbia 6- 5 1 1 -0.06 507 H Delbarton 1- 8 -7 -10 + 3.00 508 A West Morris Central 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.22 510 H Hanover Park 7- 6 1 8 --- -7.96 513 A Morristown Beard 9-12 -3 -2 -0.13 518 A Mendham 8- 7 1 0 0.92 520 H St Augustine Prep 12- 2 10 8 1.81 522 A Summit 3- 8 -5 -6 1.94UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Hanover Park 7- 6 1 8 --- -7.96 419 A Randolph 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.18 508 A West Morris Central 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.22OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 N Summit 6- 5 2o 1 -6 +++ 7.18 401 A Madison Boro 8- 9 o -1 -6 ++ 5.22 417 H Hunterdon Central 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.77 430 A Seton Hall Prep 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.43 503 A Bridgewater-Raritan 7- 4 3 0 + 2.34 507 H Delbarton 1- 8 -7 -10 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.34 Local Power Rank........... 23 Local SOS Rating......... 76.55 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 25 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0