Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Crusaders            Coach  =   Dave Sturiano         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8310852    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.4)     6- 8   
 421 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.4)     9- 5   
 422 H Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.4)     5-15   
 424 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 79.9)     6- 9   
 426 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)    17-12   
 428 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 9, 81.9)    11- 4   
 430 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.8)     5-14   
 503 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 93.6)     3-10   
 504 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 79.4)    15- 9   
 506 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 64.4)    15- 0   
 508 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.7)     9-13   
 510 H St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (17- 6, 92.9)     8- 6   
 512 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.1)    16- 1   
 514 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 76.8)    13- 2   
 515 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 69.1)    16- 1   
 518 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 77.0)    18- 5   
 520 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 77.9)    20-12   
 525 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 93.6)    11-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Williamsville East      6- 8      -2    -5    +      4.00
   421 A Williamsville South     9- 5       4     9    --    -5.04
   422 H Nichols                 5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.56
   424 A McQuaid Jesuit          6- 9      -3     7          n/a  
   426 A Gowanda                17-12       5     0    ++     5.67
   428 A East Aurora            11- 4       7     5           1.50
   430 H Grand Island            5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.11
   503 A Timon St Jude           3-10      -7    -6          -0.82
   504 H Salamanca              15- 9       6     9    -     -3.51
   506 H Akron                  15- 0      15    24           0.00
   508 A West Seneca West        9-13      -4    -2          -1.72
   510 H St Francis              8- 6       2    -3    ++     5.94
   512 A Silver Creek           16- 1      15    21           0.00
   514 A St Joseph Collegiate   13- 2      11    10           0.00
   515 A Jamestown              16- 1      15    18           0.00
   518 H Medina                 18- 5      13    11           0.00
   520 A Niagara Wheatfield     20-12       8     9          -1.54
   525 A Timon St Jude          11-16      -5    -6           1.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Nichols                 5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.56
   424 A McQuaid Jesuit          6- 9      -3     7    ---        
   421 A Williamsville South     9- 5       4     9    --    -5.04
   430 H Grand Island            5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.11
   504 H Salamanca              15- 9       6     9    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Gowanda                17-12       5     0    ++     5.67
   510 H St Francis              8- 6       2    -3    ++     5.94
   401 A Williamsville East      6- 8      -2    -5    +      4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.19 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.65 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/