Region = CT 1  FCIAC            
   Nickname = T Senators             Coach  =   Mike Epstein          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4321518    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (16- 4, 94.5)     7- 8  o
 410 H Danbury                CT 2  FCIAC   ( 8- 9, 87.7)    14- 4   
 414 H Darien                 CT 1  FCIAC   (19- 3, 99.9)     6-12   
 416 H Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-12, 85.4)    13- 7   
 420 A Wilton                 CT 1  FCIAC   (20- 3, 97.9)     7- 9   
 424 A Simsbury               CT 1  CCIAC   (15- 4, 93.8)     8- 9  o
 427 A Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (11- 8, 92.0)    14- 7   
 429 H Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 80.5)    18- 4   
 501 H New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 93.1)    16- 5   
 504 A Staples-Westport       CT 1  FCIAC   ( 7-10, 86.4)    10- 0   
 507 A Stamford               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 0-14, 75.8)    17- 1   
 511 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT 2  FCIAC   ( 4-12, 81.7)    18- 5   
 515 H Norwalk                CT 1  FCIAC   (11- 7, 91.9)     9-13   
 519 A New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 94.6)    13-12  o
 521 H Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (13- 6, 94.0)     8- 9   
 525 H Fairfield              CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 85.5)    17- 5   
 528 H New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 94.6)     5- 7   
 603 H Southington            CT 1  CCIAC   ( 7-11, 85.2)    13- 3   
 605 A Wilton                 CT 1  FCIAC   (20- 3, 97.9)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Barlow-Redding          7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.35
   410 H Danbury                14- 4      10     6          n/a  
   414 H Darien                  6-12      -6    -5          -0.90
   416 H Ridgefield             13- 7       6     9    -     -3.38
   420 A Wilton                  7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.41
   424 A Simsbury                8- 9  o   -1    -1           0.32
   427 A Trumbull               14- 7       7     0          n/a  
   429 H Xavier-Middletown      18- 4      14    14           0.00
   501 H New Milford            16- 5      11     1          n/a  
   504 A Staples-Westport       10- 0      10     6    +      3.93
   507 A Stamford               17- 1      16    16          n/a  
   511 H St Joseph-Trumbull     18- 5      13    12          n/a  
   515 H Norwalk                 9-13      -4     2    ---   -6.89
   519 A New Canaan             13-12  o    1    -2    +      3.17
   521 H Greenwich               8- 9      -1     0          -1.79
   525 H Fairfield              17- 5      12     9           0.65
   528 H New Canaan              5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.16
   603 H Southington            13- 3      10     9           0.43
   605 A Wilton                  6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Norwalk                 9-13      -4     2    ---   -6.89
   416 H Ridgefield             13- 7       6     9    -     -3.38
   528 H New Canaan              5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Trumbull               14- 7       7     0    +++        
   501 H New Milford            16- 5      11     1    +++        
   410 H Danbury                14- 4      10     6    +          
   420 A Wilton                  7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.41
   504 A Staples-Westport       10- 0      10     6    +      3.93
   519 A New Canaan             13-12  o    1    -2    +      3.17
   605 A Wilton                  6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.64 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.85 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
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