Region = CT 1 FCIAC Nickname = T Senators Coach = Mike EpsteinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.4321518 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 7- 8 o 410 H Danbury CT 2 FCIAC ( 8- 9, 87.7) 14- 4 414 H Darien CT 1 FCIAC (19- 3, 99.9) 6-12 416 H Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-12, 85.4) 13- 7 420 A Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (20- 3, 97.9) 7- 9 424 A Simsbury CT 1 CCIAC (15- 4, 93.8) 8- 9 o 427 A Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC (11- 8, 92.0) 14- 7 429 H Xavier-Middletown CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 80.5) 18- 4 501 H New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 93.1) 16- 5 504 A Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 86.4) 10- 0 507 A Stamford CT 2 FCIAC ( 0-14, 75.8) 17- 1 511 H St Joseph-Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC ( 4-12, 81.7) 18- 5 515 H Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 7, 91.9) 9-13 519 A New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 13-12 o 521 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 8- 9 525 H Fairfield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-11, 85.5) 17- 5 528 H New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 5- 7 603 H Southington CT 1 CCIAC ( 7-11, 85.2) 13- 3 605 A Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (20- 3, 97.9) 6- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Barlow-Redding 7- 8 o -1 0 -1.35 410 H Danbury 14- 4 10 6 n/a 414 H Darien 6-12 -6 -5 -0.90 416 H Ridgefield 13- 7 6 9 - -3.38 420 A Wilton 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.41 424 A Simsbury 8- 9 o -1 -1 0.32 427 A Trumbull 14- 7 7 0 n/a 429 H Xavier-Middletown 18- 4 14 14 0.00 501 H New Milford 16- 5 11 1 n/a 504 A Staples-Westport 10- 0 10 6 + 3.93 507 A Stamford 17- 1 16 16 n/a 511 H St Joseph-Trumbull 18- 5 13 12 n/a 515 H Norwalk 9-13 -4 2 --- -6.89 519 A New Canaan 13-12 o 1 -2 + 3.17 521 H Greenwich 8- 9 -1 0 -1.79 525 H Fairfield 17- 5 12 9 0.65 528 H New Canaan 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.16 603 H Southington 13- 3 10 9 0.43 605 A Wilton 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Norwalk 9-13 -4 2 --- -6.89 416 H Ridgefield 13- 7 6 9 - -3.38 528 H New Canaan 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Trumbull 14- 7 7 0 +++ 501 H New Milford 16- 5 11 1 +++ 410 H Danbury 14- 4 10 6 + 420 A Wilton 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.41 504 A Staples-Westport 10- 0 10 6 + 3.93 519 A New Canaan 13-12 o 1 -2 + 3.17 605 A Wilton 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.41/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.64 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 77.85 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7