Region = CT 1 SCIAC Nickname = T Hornets Coach = Brian AdkinsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.0496826 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Hall-West Hartford CT 1 CCIAC ( 4-12, 80.5) 12- 2 410 H Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 9-10, 87.2) 8- 1 414 H East Lyme CT 2 ECIAC (21- 1, 99.9) 6- 7 417 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.8) 9- 8 2o 421 A North Haven CT 2 SCIAC ( 4-12, 80.5) 13- 1 424 H Norwich Free Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 3-13, 77.2) 17- 1 429 H Cheshire HS CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 89.7) 12- 4 501 A West Haven CT 2 SCIAC ( 7-10, 83.4) 9- 2 504 A Guilford CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 81.8) 15- 7 508 H Hamden CT 2 SCIAC ( 3-14, 78.8) 18- 3 513 H Xavier-Middletown CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 80.5) 17- 1 520 H Fairfield Prep CT 1 SCIAC (14- 6, 95.2) 8- 9 2o 522 H Ledyard CT 2 ECIAC (11- 6, 92.3) 16- 3 525 H New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 6, 93.6) 16- 6 527 A Amity Regional CT 1 SCIAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 10- 7 528 A Morgan-Clinton CT 2 Indep ( 7-10, 84.8) 12- 5 529 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.8) 6-10 605 H Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 7, 91.9) 8- 7 608 H New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 3- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Hall-West Hartford 12- 2 10 16 0.00 410 H Newtown 8- 1 7 9 - -2.42 414 H East Lyme 6- 7 -1 -3 n/a 417 A Daniel Hand-Madison 9- 8 2o 1 -1 + 2.56 421 A North Haven 13- 1 12 14 n/a 424 H Norwich Free Academy 17- 1 16 19 n/a 429 H Cheshire HS 12- 4 8 6 1.14 501 A West Haven 9- 2 7 11 n/a 504 A Guilford 15- 7 8 12 - -2.00 508 H Hamden 18- 3 15 17 n/a 513 H Xavier-Middletown 17- 1 16 16 0.00 520 H Fairfield Prep 8- 9 2o -1 1 - -2.38 522 H Ledyard 16- 3 13 4 n/a 525 H New Fairfield 16- 6 10 2 n/a 527 A Amity Regional 10- 7 3 5 - -2.13 528 A Morgan-Clinton 12- 5 7 9 n/a 529 H Daniel Hand-Madison 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.78 605 H Norwalk 8- 7 1 4 - -3.69 608 H New Canaan 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 H Daniel Hand-Madison 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.78 608 H New Canaan 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.96 410 H Newtown 8- 1 7 9 - -2.42 501 A West Haven 9- 2 7 11 - 504 A Guilford 15- 7 8 12 - -2.00 520 H Fairfield Prep 8- 9 2o -1 1 - -2.38 527 A Amity Regional 10- 7 3 5 - -2.13 528 A Morgan-Clinton 12- 5 7 9 - 605 H Norwalk 8- 7 1 4 - -3.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 525 H New Fairfield 16- 6 10 2 +++ 522 H Ledyard 16- 3 13 4 ++ 414 H East Lyme 6- 7 -1 -3 + 417 A Daniel Hand-Madison 9- 8 2o 1 -1 + 2.56/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.44 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 73.55 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3