Region = CT 1  SCIAC            
   Nickname = T Hornets              Coach  =   Brian Adkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0496826    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Hall-West Hartford     CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.5)    12- 2   
 410 H Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 9-10, 87.2)     8- 1   
 414 H East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)     6- 7   
 417 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.8)     9- 8 2o
 421 A North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.5)    13- 1   
 424 H Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-13, 77.2)    17- 1   
 429 H Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 89.7)    12- 4   
 501 A West Haven             CT 2  SCIAC   ( 7-10, 83.4)     9- 2   
 504 A Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 81.8)    15- 7   
 508 H Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   ( 3-14, 78.8)    18- 3   
 513 H Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 80.5)    17- 1   
 520 H Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (14- 6, 95.2)     8- 9 2o
 522 H Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   (11- 6, 92.3)    16- 3   
 525 H New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 6, 93.6)    16- 6   
 527 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)    10- 7   
 528 A Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 7-10, 84.8)    12- 5   
 529 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.8)     6-10   
 605 H Norwalk                CT 1  FCIAC   (11- 7, 91.9)     8- 7   
 608 H New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 94.6)     3- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Hall-West Hartford     12- 2      10    16           0.00
   410 H Newtown                 8- 1       7     9    -     -2.42
   414 H East Lyme               6- 7      -1    -3          n/a  
   417 A Daniel Hand-Madison     9- 8 2o    1    -1    +      2.56
   421 A North Haven            13- 1      12    14          n/a  
   424 H Norwich Free Academy   17- 1      16    19          n/a  
   429 H Cheshire HS            12- 4       8     6           1.14
   501 A West Haven              9- 2       7    11          n/a  
   504 A Guilford               15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   508 H Hamden                 18- 3      15    17          n/a  
   513 H Xavier-Middletown      17- 1      16    16           0.00
   520 H Fairfield Prep          8- 9 2o   -1     1    -     -2.38
   522 H Ledyard                16- 3      13     4          n/a  
   525 H New Fairfield          16- 6      10     2          n/a  
   527 A Amity Regional         10- 7       3     5    -     -2.13
   528 A Morgan-Clinton         12- 5       7     9          n/a  
   529 H Daniel Hand-Madison     6-10      -4     0    --    -4.78
   605 H Norwalk                 8- 7       1     4    -     -3.69
   608 H New Canaan              3- 7      -4     1    --    -5.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 H Daniel Hand-Madison     6-10      -4     0    --    -4.78
   608 H New Canaan              3- 7      -4     1    --    -5.96
   410 H Newtown                 8- 1       7     9    -     -2.42
   501 A West Haven              9- 2       7    11    -          
   504 A Guilford               15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   520 H Fairfield Prep          8- 9 2o   -1     1    -     -2.38
   527 A Amity Regional         10- 7       3     5    -     -2.13
   528 A Morgan-Clinton         12- 5       7     9    -          
   605 H Norwalk                 8- 7       1     4    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   525 H New Fairfield          16- 6      10     2    +++        
   522 H Ledyard                16- 3      13     4    ++         
   414 H East Lyme               6- 7      -1    -3    +          
   417 A Daniel Hand-Madison     9- 8 2o    1    -1    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.44 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.55 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/