Region = CT 1 SWCIAC Nickname = T Falcons Coach = John DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.5989380 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 8, 93.6) 8- 7 o 408 H New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 93.1) 12- 2 410 A Hall-West Hartford CT 1 CCIAC ( 4-12, 80.5) 8- 4 417 A Fairfield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-11, 85.5) 8- 7 420 H New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 6, 93.6) 12- 5 422 H Masuk-Monroe CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 7, 93.1) 13- 3 427 A Fairfield Prep CT 1 SCIAC (14- 6, 95.2) 4-14 429 H Brookfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 8-10, 87.0) 18- 1 504 A Pomperaug-Southbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 1-15, 75.6) 19- 0 506 A Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 9-10, 87.2) 10- 5 508 A Xavier-Middletown CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 80.5) 14- 5 513 A Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 86.4) 14- 5 515 A Glastonbury CT 1 CCIAC (17- 2, 96.1) 7-14 518 A Bethel CT 2 SWCIAC ( 0-10, 74.7) 22- 3 520 H Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-12, 85.4) 10- 4 522 H Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (20- 3, 97.9) 5-10 602 A Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 9-10, 87.2) 11- 8 605 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 12- 7 608 H Cheshire HS CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 89.7) 8- 7 o 610 N Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (20- 3, 97.9) 2- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 8- 7 o 1 0 1.35 408 H New Milford 12- 2 10 2 n/a 410 A Hall-West Hartford 8- 4 4 12 --- -6.00 417 A Fairfield 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.83 420 H New Fairfield 12- 5 7 1 n/a 422 H Masuk-Monroe 13- 3 10 2 n/a 427 A Fairfield Prep 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.06 429 H Brookfield 18- 1 17 8 n/a 504 A Pomperaug-Southbury 19- 0 19 17 n/a 506 A Newtown 10- 5 5 6 -1.10 508 A Xavier-Middletown 14- 5 9 12 -1.00 513 A Staples-Westport 14- 5 9 6 + 2.11 515 A Glastonbury 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.15 518 A Bethel 22- 3 19 18 n/a 520 H Ridgefield 10- 4 6 10 -- -4.00 522 H Wilton 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.74 602 A Newtown 11- 8 3 6 - -3.10 605 H Greenwich 12- 7 5 1 + 3.40 608 H Cheshire HS 8- 7 o 1 5 -- -4.88 610 N Wilton 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Hall-West Hartford 8- 4 4 12 --- -6.00 417 A Fairfield 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.83 427 A Fairfield Prep 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.06 515 A Glastonbury 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.15 520 H Ridgefield 10- 4 6 10 -- -4.00 608 H Cheshire HS 8- 7 o 1 5 -- -4.88 522 H Wilton 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.74 602 A Newtown 11- 8 3 6 - -3.10 610 N Wilton 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.57OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H New Milford 12- 2 10 2 +++ 422 H Masuk-Monroe 13- 3 10 2 +++ 420 H New Fairfield 12- 5 7 1 ++ 513 A Staples-Westport 14- 5 9 6 + 2.11 605 H Greenwich 12- 7 5 1 + 3.40/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.45 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 74.93 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3