Region = CT 2  NWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Gene Macey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7446594    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   (11- 6, 92.3)     4-15   
 422 H Simsbury               CT 1  CCIAC   (15- 4, 93.8)     0-17   
 424 H Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 8- 9, 83.6)     2-13   
 429 H Northwest Catholic     CT 2  NWCIAC  (12- 6, 92.1)     2-12   
 501 A Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-13, 77.2)     7- 6  o
 503 H Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 8, 88.7)     4-13   
 504 A Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   ( 9- 5, 91.2)     6-12   
 508 A Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 9, 89.6)     4-11   
 510 H New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 93.1)     6-17   
 511 H Suffield HS            CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 7-10, 85.0)     5- 9   
 513 A Somers                 CT 1  NWCIAC  (17- 3, 95.0)     1-18   
 518 A Tolland                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 2-13, 75.4)    15- 7   
 520 A New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 6, 93.6)     1-13   
 522 H Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 5, 90.3)     5- 7   
 525 H Windsor                CT 1  CCIAC   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    10-11  o
 527 H Granby                 CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 4-10, 79.2)    13- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Ledyard                 4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   422 H Simsbury                0-17     -17   -14          n/a  
   424 H Newington               2-13     -11    -3          n/a  
   429 H Northwest Catholic      2-12     -10   -12           0.00
   501 A Norwich Free Academy    7- 6  o    1     0           0.07
   503 H Fitch-Groton            4-13      -9    -9           0.16
   504 A Old Lyme                6-12      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   508 A Farmington              4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   510 H New Milford             6-17     -11   -13           0.00
   511 H Suffield HS             5- 9      -4    -5           1.47
   513 A Somers                  1-18     -17   -17          n/a  
   518 A Tolland                15- 7       8     2    ++     5.27
   520 A New Fairfield           1-13     -12   -15           0.00
   522 H Stonington              5- 7      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   525 H Windsor                10-11  o   -1    -1          n/a  
   527 H Granby                 13- 7       6     0    ++     5.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Newington               2-13     -11    -3    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Stonington              5- 7      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   504 A Old Lyme                6-12      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   518 A Tolland                15- 7       8     2    ++     5.27
   527 H Granby                 13- 7       6     0    ++     5.65
   508 A Farmington              4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.84 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.50 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/