Region = NC    Public           
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   John Downey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0620651    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Broughton-Raleigh      NC    Public  ( 4- 6, 77.5)    14- 2   
 306 A Cary Academy           NC    Prvate  ( 1-17, 67.1)    14- 3   
 308 H SouthEast Raleigh      NC    Public  (13- 6, 92.4)     1-11   
 312 H Cary HS                NC    Public  ( 1-16, 71.6)    11- 5   
 320 H Triangle LC(TALL)      NC    Indep   ( 3- 6, 78.5)     8- 7   
 323 A Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 7-12, 83.1)     5- 8   
 325 A NorthEast Guilford     NC    Public  ( 3-16, 73.9)     9- 1   
 330 H Apex                   NC    Public  (21- 2, 99.9)     2-14   
 331 H W.G. Enloe             NC    Public  ( 9- 8, 82.5)     5- 7   
 402 A Triton                 NC    Public  ( 3-14, 76.0)     6- 3   
 415 A Green Hope             NC    Public  (12- 9, 84.4)     6- 5  o
 416 A Cary HS                NC    Public  ( 1-16, 71.6)     8- 1   
 420 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    Public  (13- 6, 92.4)     6-14   
 423 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Public  ( 4-10, 81.4)     7- 9   
 427 A W.G. Enloe             NC    Public  ( 9- 8, 82.5)     7- 9   
 429 A Apex                   NC    Public  (21- 2, 99.9)     1-13   
 501 A Broughton-Raleigh      NC    Public  ( 4- 6, 77.5)     9- 3   
 504 H Triton                 NC    Public  ( 3-14, 76.0)    14- 5   
 506 H Green Hope             NC    Public  (12- 9, 84.4)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Broughton-Raleigh      14- 2      12     7    +      2.73
   306 A Cary Academy           14- 3      11    15          n/a  
   308 H SouthEast Raleigh       1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.30
   312 H Cary HS                11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   320 H Triangle LC(TALL)       8- 7       1     6          n/a  
   323 A Ravenscroft School      5- 8      -3     0          n/a  
   325 A NorthEast Guilford      9- 1       8     9          -1.16
   330 H Apex                    2-14     -12   -15           0.00
   331 H W.G. Enloe              5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.19
   402 A Triton                  6- 3       3     7    --    -4.03
   415 A Green Hope              6- 5  o    1    -1    +      2.33
   416 A Cary HS                 8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   420 A SouthEast Raleigh       6-14      -8    -9           1.36
   423 A Wilmington New Hanover  7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.71
   427 A W.G. Enloe              7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.54
   429 A Apex                    1-13     -12   -16           0.00
   501 A Broughton-Raleigh       9- 3       6     5           0.39
   504 H Triton                 14- 5       9     8           0.31
   506 H Green Hope              3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Cary HS                11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   320 H Triangle LC(TALL)       8- 7       1     6    --         
   331 H W.G. Enloe              5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.19
   402 A Triton                  6- 3       3     7    --    -4.03
   308 H SouthEast Raleigh       1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.30
   323 A Ravenscroft School      5- 8      -3     0    -          
   416 A Cary HS                 8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   423 A Wilmington New Hanover  7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.71
   427 A W.G. Enloe              7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.54
   506 H Green Hope              3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Broughton-Raleigh      14- 2      12     7    +      2.73
   415 A Green Hope              6- 5  o    1    -1    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.90 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.72 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/