Armstrong                     5 - 7


 
                                     Region = MN    LakeCl           
   Nickname = N Falcons                                               



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.2045822    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Benilde St. Margaret   MN    TriMet  ( 6- 4, 89.9)     4-11   
 417 H Mankato                MN    OState  ( 0-11, 66.7)    12- 0   
 421 H Anoka                  MN    E-Sub   ( 0-11, 67.2)    11- 1   
 425 A Lakeville              MN    Lake-2  ( 3-10, 78.8)     6- 8   
 429 A Edina                  MN    LakeCl  ( 7- 6, 89.3)     5- 7   
 503 H Wayzata                MN    LakeCl  ( 7- 5, 87.2)     2-11   
 510 H Maple Grove            MN    NW-Sub  ( 4- 7, 79.8)    10- 5   
 512 H Prior Lake             MN    OState  ( 6- 4, 82.8)     2- 3   
 514 A Minnetonka             MN    LakeCl  ( 5- 8, 84.8)     4- 9   
 517 H Hopkins                MN    LakeCl  ( 8- 8, 82.4)     6- 4   
 519 A Cooper                 MN    LakeCl  ( 5- 9, 82.4)     5- 4   
 521 A Breck                  MN    TriMet  (11- 3, 96.1)     2-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Benilde St. Margaret    4-11      -7    -8           1.01
   417 H Mankato                12- 0      12    15           0.00
   421 H Anoka                  11- 1      10    15           0.00
   425 A Lakeville               6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.10
   429 A Edina                   5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.43
   503 H Wayzata                 2-11      -9    -4    --    -4.37
   510 H Maple Grove            10- 5       5     2    +      2.22
   512 H Prior Lake              2- 3      -1     0          -0.86
   514 A Minnetonka              4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.15
   517 H Hopkins                 6- 4       2     0           1.76
   519 A Cooper                  5- 4       1     0           1.51
   521 A Breck                   2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Lakeville               6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.10
   503 H Wayzata                 2-11      -9    -4    --    -4.37
   514 A Minnetonka              4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.15


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Edina                   5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.43
   510 H Maple Grove            10- 5       5     2    +      2.22
   521 A Breck                   2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.26 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.56 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7


  
/