Region = PA    3DWEST           
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Mike Jayson           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.6283112    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Upper St Clair         PA    1DWEST  (11- 6, 96.9)     3-19   
 329 H Seneca Valley          PA    2DWEST  (16- 9, 95.4)     0-15   
 402 A Butler Area            PA    3DWEST  ( 7-10, 79.2)     9-12   
 413 H Winchester Thurston    PA    3DWEST  ( 3-13, 68.4)    17- 5   
 416 A Central Catholic       PA    2DWEST  ( 8-10, 85.3)     8-12   
 417 A North Hills            PA    2DWEST  ( 3-13, 74.8)    14- 8   
 419 A Bethel Park            PA    2DWEST  (11- 8, 88.7)     4-15   
 421 A Chartiers Valley       PA    3DWEST  ( 5-11, 75.7)    14- 8   
 423 H Kiski Prep             PA    3DWEST  ( 4- 5, 74.8)    11- 3   
 428 A Vincentian Academy     PA    3DWEST  ( 0-16, 64.2)    19-12   
 501 A Morgantown             PA    3DWEST  ( 9- 7, 79.3)     9-12   
 503 H Erie-McDowell          PA    3DWEST  ( 1-12, 67.7)    15- 8   
 505 A Shaler Area            PA    3DWEST  ( 9-11, 78.9)    10- 9   
 508 A Quaker Valley          PA    2DWEST  ( 5- 9, 82.2)    11-17   
 510 A Hampton                PA    2DWEST  (11- 9, 90.2)     5-14   
 512 H Baldwin                PA    3DWEST  (18- 6, 88.5)     4-12   
 518 H University             PA    3DWEST  (11- 7, 81.7)    14-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Upper St Clair          3-19     -16   -18           0.00
   329 H Seneca Valley           0-15     -15   -13           0.00
   402 A Butler Area             9-12      -3     0    -     -2.07
   413 H Winchester Thurston    17- 5      12    13           0.00
   416 A Central Catholic        8-12      -4    -7    +      3.08
   417 A North Hills            14- 8       6     3    +      2.59
   419 A Bethel Park             4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   421 A Chartiers Valley       14- 8       6     2    +      3.46
   423 H Kiski Prep             11- 3       8     7           0.90
   428 A Vincentian Academy     19-12       7    14    -     -3.00
   501 A Morgantown              9-12      -3    -1          -1.99
   503 H Erie-McDowell          15- 8       7    14    -     -3.00
   505 A Shaler Area            10- 9       1     0           1.69
   508 A Quaker Valley          11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.02
   510 A Hampton                 5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   512 H Baldwin                 4-12      -8    -6          -1.39
   518 H University             14-13       1     0           0.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Butler Area             9-12      -3     0    -     -2.07
   428 A Vincentian Academy     19-12       7    14    -     -3.00
   503 H Erie-McDowell          15- 8       7    14    -     -3.00
   508 A Quaker Valley          11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Central Catholic        8-12      -4    -7    +      3.08
   417 A North Hills            14- 8       6     3    +      2.59
   421 A Chartiers Valley       14- 8       6     2    +      3.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.06 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.90 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/